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For the past few years, the state of West Virginia has fared relatively well financially despite the slumping economy. A combination of sound budgeting and the fact that West Virginia is more experienced in dealing with limited revenue has kept our state’s head above water while numerous other states are facing staggering deficits and have had to raise taxes. But now, just as the economy appears to be moving in a more positive direction, West Virginia is finally feeling a significant financial pinch that may force immediate cuts, and will definitely require major cutbacks in the coming fiscal year.

In the Legislature, we have been holding our breath, knowing this could happen but hoping that the economy would recover before it dragged West Virginia’s budget down. Unfortunately, as was recently reported in the media, the state’s November tax collections were about $24 million below projections – the third time this year tax revenues have fallen short of expectations during the 2003-2004 fiscal year, which began in July. As a result, Gov. Bob Wise has said the state will have to reduce spending by 2.9 percent this year to prevent a $15 million to $20 million deficit.

There is some possibility that the tax collections during the next few months could make up for the loss. Regardless, it is already clear that the 2004-2005 budget will be extremely tight, and major cuts will be required. Next year’s budget is more than $100 million short, due in large part to the increasing debts of the state’s pension and health care programs and an expected flat revenue stream.

Where any of the cutbacks will come from has yet to be seen. Last year, the Governor called for most state agencies to cut their budgets by 10 percent. Although Gov. Wise mentioned last summer that another round of cuts, perhaps by 9 percent, might be needed, he has since said he wants to avoid similar across-the-board cuts next year if at all possible. In the end, only the State Police and the Division of Corrections will likely be left alone.

In the past, public education has also been immune from cutbacks, but that may not be the case in next year’s budget. Because public education consumes more than 50 percent the state’s general revenue budget, legislative leaders feel compelled to consider it. While I believe the Legislature will be careful not to tap programs that directly affect the classroom, the state Department of Education’s administration will be closely examined.

Another belt-tightening possibility being considered by leadership is a temporary shutdown of state government, perhaps for a day or two. By forcing most state employees to take a day or two off without pay, the state could save a significant sum. Essential services, such as law enforcement, would be maintained, so some state employees would still work. If such a furlough were enacted, House Speaker Bob Kiss said it would probably take place after July 2004.

The Governor has also warned that pay raises for teachers or public employees are not likely, even though those groups did not receive raises this year.

West Virginia’s budgetary picture is bleak, but there are a few positives. With the exception of the cigarette tax increase last year, the Legislature has not raised general revenue taxes in over eight years. If at all possible, the Legislative leadership hopes to maintain that record. And while overall tax collections were down for November, sales tax collections were $900,000 above projections and personal income taxes were $1.7 million above estimates, indicating the potential for the beginning of an economic recovery.

I welcome and appreciate your input on these issues, or any other legislative matter. Please call me at (304)340-3106 or write to Delegate Virginia Mahan, 215-E, Capitol Complex, Charleston, WV 25305.